Convective Outlook 28.07.2018

deutsche Outlook-Kurzfassung (aufklappen)
CategoricalHailWind GustsTornadoHeavy Rain

Risk Area (sq. km) Population Larger Cities in Risk Area
20 % 3.154.872 365.832.683 Amsterdam, Antwerpen, Basel, Belgrade, Berlin, Birmingham, Bremen, Brussels, Budapest, Cardiff, Cologne, Dortmund, Dresden, Duisburg, Düsseldorf, Essen, Florence, Frankfurt, Gdansk, Geneva, Genoa, Glasgow, Göteborg, Hamburg, Hannover, Helsinki, Katowice, København, Kraków, Leeds, Leipzig, Lille, Liverpool, Lódz, London, Lvov, Lyon, Manchester, Mannheim, Milan, Munich, Newcastle, Nottingham, Nürnberg, Oslo, Poznan, Prague, Riga, Rotterdam, Sarajevo, Sheffield, Sofia, Stockholm, Stuttgart, The Hague, Turin, Vienna, Vilnius, Warsaw, Wroclaw, Wuppertal, Zagreb, Zürich
50 % 1.293.763 158.515.784 Basel, Berlin, Bremen, Cardiff, Cologne, Dortmund, Dresden, Duisburg, Düsseldorf, Essen, Frankfurt, Geneva, Hamburg, Hannover, Helsinki, København, Leipzig, Lyon, Mannheim, Milan, Nürnberg, Oslo, Prague, Riga, Stockholm, Stuttgart, Turin, Vienna, Warsaw, Wuppertal, Zürich
Severe Threat 1 308.767 49.375.706 Birmingham, Bremen, Cardiff, Hamburg, Hannover, Nottingham, Sheffield, Stuttgart, Zürich

Risk Area (sq. km) Population Larger Cities in Risk Area
2 % 2.317.738 327.321.926 Amsterdam, Antwerpen, Basel, Berlin, Birmingham, Bremen, Brussels, Budapest, Cardiff, Cologne, Dortmund, Dresden, Duisburg, Düsseldorf, Essen, Florence, Frankfurt, Gdansk, Geneva, Genoa, Hamburg, Hannover, Katowice, Kraków, Leeds, Leipzig, Liverpool, Lódz, London, Lvov, Lyon, Manchester, Mannheim, Milan, Munich, Newcastle, Nottingham, Nürnberg, Oslo, Poznan, Prague, Riga, Rotterdam, Sarajevo, Sheffield, Stockholm, Stuttgart, The Hague, Turin, Vienna, Warsaw, Wroclaw, Wuppertal, Zagreb, Zürich
5 % 387.006 62.055.307 Basel, Dresden, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Hannover, Leipzig, Mannheim, Munich, Nürnberg, Prague, Stuttgart, Zürich

Risk Area (sq. km) Population Larger Cities in Risk Area
2 % 920.714 134.658.473 Basel, Berlin, Birmingham, Bremen, Cardiff, Cologne, Dortmund, Dresden, Duisburg, Düsseldorf, Essen, Frankfurt, Geneva, Hamburg, Hannover, København, Leipzig, Liverpool, Manchester, Mannheim, Munich, Nottingham, Nürnberg, Prague, Sheffield, Stuttgart, Wuppertal, Zürich
5 % 245.990 30.606.361 Bremen, Hamburg, Hannover, Stuttgart, Zürich

Risk Area (sq. km) Population Larger Cities in Risk Area
2 % 26.883 4.590.208 Cardiff

Risk Area (sq. km) Population Larger Cities in Risk Area
5 % 1.916.810 266.495.254 Amsterdam, Basel, Berlin, Birmingham, Bremen, Cardiff, Cologne, Dortmund, Dresden, Duisburg, Düsseldorf, Essen, Florence, Frankfurt, Geneva, Hamburg, Hannover, Helsinki, København, Leeds, Leipzig, Liverpool, London, Lyon, Manchester, Mannheim, Milan, Munich, Nottingham, Nürnberg, Oslo, Prague, Riga, Rotterdam, Sarajevo, Sheffield, Stockholm, Stuttgart, The Hague, Turin, Vienna, Warsaw, Wuppertal, Zagreb, Zürich
10 % 105.968 17.941.652 Hannover, Stuttgart, Zürich
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Forecast FAQ

 

A severe Threat 1 for northern Germany and parts of Denmark mainly for severe wind gusts, excessive precipitation and to a lesser degree for medium size to large hail

 

A severe Threat 1 has been issued for south-western Germany mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail and severe wind gusts

 

A Severe Threat 1 has been issued for parts of England and Wales mainly for severe wind gusts and a tornado event

 

Synoptic Setup

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Mesoscale Discussion

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Model consistency, additional remarks

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Updated: 29. Juli 2018, 11:56 — 11:56
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